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Japan’s Economy Contracting 1.6 Percent Will Send Mortgage Rates Lower

The Japanese economy was expected to grow 2.1 percent but actually contracted 1.6 percent. News that the Japanese economy fell into a recession will send bond yields lower, which in turn will send mortgage rates in the U.S. lower. Slowing economic growth in Asia and Europe will keep downward pressure on interest rates in the United States in the coming months. Average mortgage rates are higher this week but will move lower in the coming weeks due to lower bond yields.

10 year bond yields will likely fall near 2.00 percent from the current level of 2.34 percent. 10 year bond yields at 2.00 percent will send average 30 year mortgage rates back below 4.00 percent by the end of 2014. 30 year jumbo rates will also fall below 4.00 percent. There won't be any upward pressure on rates until the summer of 2015 when the Federal Reserve starts increasing interest rates.

Mortgage rates today on 30 year conforming loans are averaging 4.08 percent, up from the previous week's average 30 year mortgage rate of 3.99 percent. Rates are higher this week and just above record lows but rates are still low, historically speaking. If you're considering purchasing a home or refinancing your current mortgage, you should do so before rates move higher in the next 6 months.

Loan Term
Lender
APR / Rate
Fees / Points
Payment
Future First Lending
NMLS #2126430
4.764%
15-Year Fixed
4.625%
$3,695
Includes 0.625 points for $2,500
Lender Fees: $1,195
$3,086 /mo
Home Simply
NMLS #2473786
4.775%
15-Year Fixed
4.625%
$4,015
Includes 0.730 points for $2,920
Lender Fees: $1,095
$3,086 /mo
Different Mortgage
NMLS #324599
License: 324599
4.812%
15-Year Fixed
4.625%
$5,070
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $1,070
$3,086 /mo
Statewide Funding
NMLS #1105497
License: 603L227
4.817%
15-Year Fixed
4.625%
$5,125
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $1,625
$3,086 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
4.874%
15-Year Fixed
4.750%
$3,308
Includes 0.827 points for $3,308
Lender Fees: $0
$3,112 /mo
Bison State Bank
NMLS #757416
4.898%
15-Year Fixed
4.750%
$3,944
Includes 0.986 points for $3,944
Lender Fees: $0
$3,112 /mo
Blue Sky Financial, LLC
NMLS #1954591
License: 60DBO-113383
4.918%
15-Year Fixed
4.750%
$4,539
Includes 0.858 points for $3,432
Lender Fees: $1,107
$3,112 /mo
Farmers Bank of Kansas City
NMLS #613839
4.953%
15-Year Fixed
4.750%
$5,407
Includes 0.880 points for $3,520
Lender Fees: $1,887
$3,112 /mo
Home Simply
NMLS #2473786
4.972%
5-Year ARM
4.875%
$4,451
Includes 0.839 points for $3,356
Lender Fees: $1,095
$2,117 /mo
Allied Mortgage Group, Inc.
NMLS #1067
4.978%
15-Year Fixed
4.875%
$2,732
Includes 0.683 points for $2,732
Lender Fees: $0
$3,138 /mo
Future First Lending
NMLS #2126430
4.983%
5-Year ARM
4.875%
$4,951
Includes 0.939 points for $3,756
Lender Fees: $1,195
$2,117 /mo
Zoom Loans
NMLS #1312186
5.007%
15-Year Fixed
4.875%
$3,500
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $0
$3,138 /mo
New American Funding, LLC.
NMLS #6606
5.260%
15-Year Fixed
5.125%
$3,548
Includes 0.887 points for $3,548
Lender Fees: $0
$3,190 /mo
Zoom Loans
NMLS #1312186
5.336%
5-Year ARM
5.250%
$3,868
Includes 0.967 points for $3,868
Lender Fees: $0
$2,209 /mo
Blue Sky Financial, LLC
NMLS #1954591
License: 60DBO-113383
5.473%
5-Year ARM
5.375%
$4,423
Includes 0.829 points for $3,316
Lender Fees: $1,107
$2,240 /mo
Different Mortgage
NMLS #324599
License: 324599
5.483%
5-Year ARM
5.375%
$4,886
Includes 0.954 points for $3,816
Lender Fees: $1,070
$2,240 /mo
Statewide Funding
NMLS #1105497
License: 603L227
5.484%
5-Year ARM
5.375%
$4,886
Includes 0.829 points for $3,316
Lender Fees: $1,570
$2,240 /mo
Future First Lending
NMLS #2126430
5.583%
30-Year Fixed
5.500%
$3,695
Includes 0.625 points for $2,500
Lender Fees: $1,195
$2,272 /mo
Home Simply
NMLS #2473786
5.587%
30-Year Fixed
5.490%
$4,295
Includes 0.800 points for $3,200
Lender Fees: $1,095
$2,269 /mo
Different Mortgage
NMLS #324599
License: 324599
5.613%
30-Year Fixed
5.500%
$5,070
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $1,070
$2,272 /mo
Statewide Funding
NMLS #1105497
License: 603L227
5.616%
30-Year Fixed
5.500%
$5,125
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $1,625
$2,272 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
5.682%
30-Year Fixed
5.625%
$2,508
Includes 0.627 points for $2,508
Lender Fees: $0
$2,303 /mo
Allied Mortgage Group, Inc.
NMLS #1067
5.686%
30-Year Fixed
5.625%
$2,684
Includes 0.671 points for $2,684
Lender Fees: $0
$2,303 /mo
Bison State Bank
NMLS #757416
5.696%
30-Year Fixed
5.625%
$3,120
Includes 0.780 points for $3,120
Lender Fees: $0
$2,303 /mo
Farmers Bank of Kansas City
NMLS #613839
5.726%
30-Year Fixed
5.625%
$4,447
Includes 0.640 points for $2,560
Lender Fees: $1,887
$2,303 /mo
Zoom Loans
NMLS #1312186
5.842%
30-Year Fixed
5.750%
$4,000
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $0
$2,335 /mo
Blue Sky Financial, LLC
NMLS #1954591
License: 60DBO-113383
5.854%
30-Year Fixed
5.750%
$4,619
Includes 0.878 points for $3,512
Lender Fees: $1,107
$2,335 /mo
New American Funding, LLC.
NMLS #6606
5.958%
30-Year Fixed
5.875%
$3,592
Includes 0.898 points for $3,592
Lender Fees: $0
$2,367 /mo
HSBC Bank USA, N.A.
NMLS #399799
5.970%
30-Year Fixed
5.875%
$4,284
Includes 0.739 points for $2,956
Lender Fees: $1,328
$2,367 /mo
Rate data provided by RateUpdate.com. Displayed by Mortgage Research Center, NMLS #1907, Equal Housing Opportunity. Payments do not include taxes and insurance premiums. Actual payments will be greater with taxes and insurance included. Rate and product details.

The best 30 year refinance rates currently available are still below the average rate and still below 4.o0 percent at 3.875 percent with zero points. You can search for lender's rates in all 50 states and the District of Colombia by using our rate tables here: Mortgage Rates Today.

15 year conforming mortgage rates are averaging 3.11 percent, unchanged from last week's average 15 year mortgage rate. The lowest 15 year conforming refinance rates available are at 2.75 percent with 1.375 mortgage rates. The lowest 15 year refinancing rates without points are also below the average at 2.99 percent.

5 year adjustable mortgage rates bucked the uptrend and are lower this week. The current average 5/1 ARM is at 3.22 percent, a decline from the prior week's average 5 year adjustable rate of 3.25 percent.

The best 5 year conforming adjustable rates quoted by lenders are much lower than the average at 2.25 percent with 1.10 mortgage points. The lowest 5 year conforming refi rate without points are also below the average at 2.625 percent.

Current mortgage rates on 30 year jumbo loans are averaging 4.20 percent, down 2 basis points from last week's average jumbo mortgage rate of 4.22 percent. The best 30 year jumbo refinance rates available from lenders are at 3.625 percent with 0.63 points and at 3.75 percent with no points.

15 year jumbo rates are also lower this week averaging 3.81 percent, down from last week's average rate of 3.86 percent. The lowest 15 year jumbo refinance rates available are at 3.125 percent with 0.63 points and at 3.375 percent with no mortgage points.

Today's mortgage rates on 5 year jumbo loans are averaging 3.47 percent, unchanged from last week's average 5 year jumbo rate. The best 5 year adjustable jumbo rates currently available are at 2.625 percent with 0.75 mortgage points. The lowest 5 year jumbo adjustable rates without points are at 2.75 percent.

 
Author: Brian McKay
November 17th, 2014

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