Low Mortgage Rates and Low Home Inventory Cause Biggest Home Price Gains Since 2006

Thanks to low mortgage rates and a low inventory of homes available for sale, the housing market is continuing its strong comeback from the biggest bust since the Great Depression. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices for the 20-City Composite showed average home prices increased 8.1% in the 12 months ending in January 2013. This is the largest year over year gain since the height of the housing bubble back in 2006.

Low Mortgage Rates and Low Home Inventory Cause Biggest Home Price Gains Since 2006The increase in home prices varied in different cities. The largest increase was in Phoenix, AZ, with a gain of 23.2 percent. The smallest gain year over year was in New York, where the average price increase was only 0.6 percent. The lowest current mortgage rates in a generation along with an economy that is finally gaining traction is bringing buyers back into the market.

Home prices are projected to continue to move higher in the coming years but current prices are still down around 30 percent from the peak of June/July of 2006. CoreLogic predicts home prices will increase 6 percent in 2013 after increasing 7.5 percent in 2012. New home starts are also increasing as home builders are optimistic again about the future.

Loan Term
Lender
APR / Rate
Fees / Points
Payment
iheartloan
NMLS #2562839
4.924%
15-Year Fixed
4.750%
$4,625
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $1,125
$3,112 /mo
Home Simply
NMLS #2473786
4.934%
15-Year Fixed
4.750%
$4,887
Includes 0.948 points for $3,792
Lender Fees: $1,095
$3,112 /mo
District Lending
NMLS #1835285
5.007%
15-Year Fixed
4.875%
$3,500
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $0
$3,138 /mo
Approved Home Loans
NMLS #1935422
License: 60DBO-109262
5.047%
15-Year Fixed
4.750%
$7,933
Includes 0.662 points for $2,648
Lender Fees: $5,285
$3,112 /mo
Different Mortgage
NMLS #324599
License: 324599
5.063%
15-Year Fixed
4.875%
$5,070
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $1,070
$3,138 /mo
Bison State Bank
NMLS #757416
5.140%
15-Year Fixed
4.990%
$3,960
Includes 0.990 points for $3,960
Lender Fees: $0
$3,162 /mo
Approved Home Loans
NMLS #1935422
License: 60DBO-109262
5.300%
5-Year ARM
5.125%
$7,925
Includes 0.660 points for $2,640
Lender Fees: $5,285
$2,178 /mo
Home Simply
NMLS #2473786
5.361%
5-Year ARM
5.250%
$4,967
Includes 0.968 points for $3,872
Lender Fees: $1,095
$2,209 /mo
New American Funding, LLC.
NMLS #6606
5.381%
15-Year Fixed
5.240%
$3,708
Includes 0.927 points for $3,708
Lender Fees: $0
$3,214 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
5.508%
15-Year Fixed
5.375%
$3,480
Includes 0.695 points for $2,780
Lender Fees: $700
$3,242 /mo
District Lending
NMLS #1835285
5.578%
5-Year ARM
5.500%
$3,439
Includes 0.735 points for $2,940
Lender Fees: $499
$2,272 /mo
District Lending
NMLS #1835285
5.817%
30-Year Fixed
5.750%
$2,927
Includes 0.607 points for $2,428
Lender Fees: $499
$2,335 /mo
Approved Home Loans
NMLS #1935422
License: 60DBO-109262
5.827%
30-Year Fixed
5.625%
$8,917
Includes 0.908 points for $3,632
Lender Fees: $5,285
$2,303 /mo
iheartloan
NMLS #2562839
5.847%
5-Year ARM
5.750%
$4,229
Includes 0.776 points for $3,104
Lender Fees: $1,125
$2,335 /mo
Home Simply
NMLS #2473786
5.861%
30-Year Fixed
5.750%
$4,847
Includes 0.938 points for $3,752
Lender Fees: $1,095
$2,335 /mo
iheartloan
NMLS #2562839
5.867%
30-Year Fixed
5.750%
$5,125
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $1,125
$2,335 /mo
Different Mortgage
NMLS #324599
License: 324599
5.979%
30-Year Fixed
5.875%
$4,570
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $1,070
$2,367 /mo
Bison State Bank
NMLS #757416
6.045%
30-Year Fixed
5.990%
$2,376
Includes 0.594 points for $2,376
Lender Fees: $0
$2,396 /mo
New American Funding, LLC.
NMLS #6606
6.205%
30-Year Fixed
6.125%
$3,420
Includes 0.855 points for $3,420
Lender Fees: $0
$2,431 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
6.208%
30-Year Fixed
6.125%
$3,520
Includes 0.705 points for $2,820
Lender Fees: $700
$2,431 /mo
HSBC Bank USA, N.A.
NMLS #399799
6.218%
30-Year Fixed
6.125%
$4,111
Includes 0.696 points for $2,784
Lender Fees: $1,327
$2,431 /mo
Different Mortgage
NMLS #324599
License: 324599
6.222%
5-Year ARM
6.125%
$4,206
Includes 0.784 points for $3,136
Lender Fees: $1,070
$2,431 /mo
Rate data provided by RateUpdate.com. Displayed by ICB, a division of Mortgage Research Center, NMLS #1907, Equal Housing Opportunity. Payments do not include taxes and insurance premiums. Actual payments will be greater with taxes and insurance included. Rate and product details.

The Federal Reserve is continuing to do its part to help the housing market recover by suppressing mortgage rates. The Federal Reserve has been buying long term Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities to drive mortgage rates down. Many analysts believed the Fed would slow or stop their purchases since the economy and housing is gaining momentum.

In the March Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the committee decided to continue purchasing $40 billion a month in mortgage backed securities and $45 billion a month in long term Treasuries. Mortgage refinance rates are projected to increase from current levels but the Fed's actions will keep a lid on the increase in rates.

Mortgage rates today on 30 year conforming loans are averaging 3.70 percent, up from the prior week's average 30 year mortgage rate of 3.66 percent. 30 year mortgage interest rates will probably remain in a range of 3.50 percent to 4.00 percent in 2013. There are lenders quoting 30 year conforming refinance rates today well below the average of 3.70 percent.

The lowest 30 year refinance rates in our database of lender rates are at 3.25 percent with 2 mortgage discount points. The lowest 30 year conforming refinancing rates without points are around 3.50 percent. These advertised rates are for borrowers who have a credit score of 680 or higher.

 
Author: Brian McKay
March 26th, 2013

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