Lower Mortgage Rates Today: 30 Year Conventional Rates Averaging 4.27 Percent

Mortgage rates have drifted lower for the past several weeks. Average 30 year mortgage rates today are at 4.27 percent, a decline from last week's average 30 year rate of 4.29 percent. Mortgage rates have followed 10 year bond yields lower which are averaging 2.62 percent today.

It will be interesting to see where rates are in the next couple of weeks. The government shutdown hasn't had an effect on bond rates, which in turn hasn't affected mortgage rates but the coming debt ceiling limit is another matter. The official date the U.S. Treasury says we will hit the debt limit is October 17 but it may happen sooner.

Debt Ceiling Breach Would Send Mortgage Rates Tumbling

Loan Term
Lender
APR / Rate
Fees / Points
Payment
Allied Mortgage Group, Inc.
NMLS #1067
5.514%
15-Year Fixed
5.375%
$3,624
Includes 0.906 points for $3,624
Lender Fees: $0
$3,242 /mo
PenFed Credit Union
NMLS #401822
5.516%
15-Year Fixed
5.250%
$7,000
Includes 0.750 points for $3,000
Lender Fees: $4,000
$3,216 /mo
Pure Rate Mortgage
NMLS #2578474
5.551%
15-Year Fixed
5.375%
$4,606
Includes 0.889 points for $3,556
Lender Fees: $1,050
$3,242 /mo
GenNext.Mortgage
NMLS #2326098
License: 60DBO-181478
5.556%
15-Year Fixed
5.375%
$4,909
Includes 0.739 points for $2,956
Lender Fees: $1,953
$3,242 /mo
Bison State Bank
NMLS #757416
5.592%
15-Year Fixed
5.490%
$2,652
Includes 0.663 points for $2,652
Lender Fees: $0
$3,267 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
5.627%
15-Year Fixed
5.490%
$3,572
Includes 0.718 points for $2,872
Lender Fees: $700
$3,267 /mo
Pure Rate Mortgage
NMLS #2578474
6.360%
30-Year Fixed
6.250%
$4,650
Includes 0.900 points for $3,600
Lender Fees: $1,050
$2,463 /mo
Bison State Bank
NMLS #757416
6.437%
30-Year Fixed
6.375%
$2,596
Includes 0.649 points for $2,596
Lender Fees: $0
$2,496 /mo
Allied Mortgage Group, Inc.
NMLS #1067
6.451%
30-Year Fixed
6.375%
$3,208
Includes 0.802 points for $3,208
Lender Fees: $0
$2,496 /mo
GenNext.Mortgage
NMLS #2326098
License: 60DBO-181478
6.501%
5-Year ARM
6.375%
$5,501
Includes 0.887 points for $3,548
Lender Fees: $1,953
$2,496 /mo
GenNext.Mortgage
NMLS #2326098
License: 60DBO-181478
6.511%
30-Year Fixed
6.375%
$5,897
Includes 0.986 points for $3,944
Lender Fees: $1,953
$2,496 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
6.569%
30-Year Fixed
6.490%
$3,296
Includes 0.649 points for $2,596
Lender Fees: $700
$2,526 /mo
PenFed Credit Union
NMLS #401822
6.620%
30-Year Fixed
6.500%
$4,995
Includes 0.750 points for $3,000
Lender Fees: $1,995
$2,529 /mo
Rocket Mortgage
NMLS #3030
6.764%
15-Year Fixed
6.625%
$3,500
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $0
$3,512 /mo
Rocket Mortgage
NMLS #3030
7.350%
30-Year Fixed
7.250%
$4,000
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $0
$2,729 /mo
Rate data provided by RateUpdate.com. Displayed by ICB, a division of Mortgage Research Center, NMLS #1907, Equal Housing Opportunity. Payments do not include taxes and insurance premiums. Actual payments will be greater with taxes and insurance included. Rate and product details.

If an agreement is made between Republicans and Democrats to increase the borrowing limit of the U.S. Government, bond rates and mortgage rates will remain around current levels. If the debt ceiling isn't increased and the U.S. defaults, believe it or not bond rates will tumble in the short term which would send mortgage rates sharply lower.

Any other country other than the United States defaulting on its debt would send bond rates for that country through the roof. In the short term, bond rates would plummet on U.S. Treasuries because there would be a classic flight to quality. Equity markets would plummet and most commodity prices (except gold) would plummet, sending investors into the safety of U.S. bonds.

Rates on bonds work in inverse to bond prices, so when prices move higher, rates move lower and vice versa. Investors would flee equity markets, commodity markets, and debt from most other countries. All this money would have to go somewhere and most of it would end up buying U.S. bonds.

In the long run if the United States didn't pay its bills, then yes, U.S. bond rates would soar but everyone knows this scenario won't play out. Even if the debt ceiling is breached, politicians would finally get their act together and pass an increase so the default would be a short-term crisis.

Lower Mortgage Rates Today 30 Year Conventional Rates Averaging 4.27 PercentFixed Conforming Mortgage Rates Today

30 year mortgage rates are averaging 4.27 percent today and probably will stay around current levels until the debt ceiling limit is reached or a deal is made between Democrats and Republicans. If  no deal is made and the ceiling is breached, average 30 year mortgage rates will fall back under 4.00 percent.

If you're looking for a loan, you don't have to wait for average rates to move back under 4.00 percent because there are many lenders already offering rates below 4.00 percent. The lowest 30 year mortgage refinance rates right now in our rate database are at 3.625 percent with 2 mortgage points. The lowest 30 year rates without points are available at 3.875 percent, still under 4.00 percent!

Current mortgage rates on 15 year conventional loans are averaging 3.33 percent this week, a decline from the previous week's average 15 year mortgage rate of 3.35 percent. A default on the nations debt would send 10 year bond rates down towards 2.00 percent which would send 15 year mortgage rates back under 3.00 percent.

As with 30 year rates, we also have lenders currently offering 15 year rates under 3.00 percent. 15 year refinance rates today in our database are available at 2.75 percent with 1.875 mortgage points. We also have many lenders quoting 15 year refinancing rates at 2.75 percent with 2 points. The lowest 15 year refi rates without points are exactly at 3.00 percent.

Today's Jumbo Mortgage Rates

Today's mortgage rates on 30 year jumbo loans are averaging 4.57 percent, a decline from last week's average 30 year jumbo mortgage rate of 4.65 percent. A debt default would send 30 year jumbo rates back under 4.50 percent and probably down to the 4.25 percent range.

Right now the lowest 30 year jumbo mortgage interest rates in our database are still under 4.00 percent. We have one lender, Capital One, quoting 30 year jumbo refinance rates at 3.75 percent with 2 mortgage points. The lowest 30 year jumbo rates without points at 4.125 percent is also from the same lender.

Average 15 year jumbo rates are currently at 3.88 percent, down from last week's average 15 year jumbo rate of 3.93 percent. A debt default would send 15 year jumbo rates down to the 3.50 percent range. Currently, the lowest 15 year jumbo refi rates in our database being offered are at 3.125 percent with 2 points and at 3.50 percent with no points.

 
Author: Brian McKay
October 3rd, 2013

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