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Mortgage Rates Continue to Rise as 10 Year Treasury Yields Move Higher

Mortgage rates drifted higher this President's Day thanks to higher 10 year Treasury yields. 10 year yields which started last week below 2.00 percent, closed at 2.01 percent on Friday. As a result of higher yields, average 30 year mortgage rates today increased to 3.66 percent, up from last week's average 30 year mortgage rate of 3.61 percent.

Mortgage Rates Continue to Rise as 10 Year Treasury Yields Move HigherAverage mortgage rates on 30 year conforming loans moved higher in 2013 but rates are still less than 50 basis points above all-time record lows. The average record low was 3.27 percent, set back in November 2012. Whether or not we see record low mortgage rates in 2013 depends on the sequester and fiscal year 2013 budget.

If Democrats and Republicans fail to act responsibly on these two issues and throw the economy into a recession, both bond yields and mortgage rates will plummet to new record lows.

Loan Term
Lender
APR / Rate
Fees / Points
Payment
Tomo Mortgage, LLC.
NMLS #2059741
4.764%
15-Year Fixed
4.625%
$3,708
Includes 0.927 points for $3,708
Lender Fees: $0
$3,086 /mo
Home Simply
NMLS #2473786
4.779%
15-Year Fixed
4.625%
$4,119
Includes 0.756 points for $3,024
Lender Fees: $1,095
$3,086 /mo
Home Simply
NMLS #2473786
4.972%
5-Year ARM
4.875%
$4,451
Includes 0.839 points for $3,356
Lender Fees: $1,095
$2,117 /mo
New American Funding, LLC.
NMLS #6606
5.260%
15-Year Fixed
5.125%
$3,548
Includes 0.887 points for $3,548
Lender Fees: $0
$3,190 /mo
Tomo Mortgage, LLC.
NMLS #2059741
5.573%
30-Year Fixed
5.490%
$3,700
Includes 0.925 points for $3,700
Lender Fees: $0
$2,269 /mo
Home Simply
NMLS #2473786
5.587%
30-Year Fixed
5.490%
$4,295
Includes 0.800 points for $3,200
Lender Fees: $1,095
$2,269 /mo
New American Funding, LLC.
NMLS #6606
5.958%
30-Year Fixed
5.875%
$3,592
Includes 0.898 points for $3,592
Lender Fees: $0
$2,367 /mo
Rate data provided by RateUpdate.com. Displayed by Mortgage Research Center, NMLS #1907, Equal Housing Opportunity. Payments do not include taxes and insurance premiums. Actual payments will be greater with taxes and insurance included. Rate and product details.

If politicians can come to an agreement and avoid a recession, the economy will take off. While a stronger economy would lead to higher yields and rates the increases will be minimal. 10 year bond yields would remain under 2.50 percent and 30 year mortgage rates would remain under 4.00 percent.

Current mortgage rates on 30 year jumbo loans remained unchanged this week at 4.12 percent. The all-time record low for 30 year jumbo mortgage rates are just below 4.00 percent at 3.91 percent. A recession in 2013 would force 30 year jumbo rates as low as 3.75 percent on average. If there isn't a recession, average 30 year jumbo rates would move as high as 4.50 percent.

Today's mortgage rates on 15 year conventional loans are averaging 2.92 percent, an increase from last week's average 15 year mortgage rate of 2.90 percent. The record low for 15 year mortgage rates was 2.78 percent, set back in November 2012. You can actually find lenders quoting 15 year mortgage refinance rates well below the average rate. The lowest refinance rates on 15 year conforming loans in our database are at 2.25 percent with points.

Average 15 year jumbo mortgage rates are at 3.41 percent, an increase from last week's average 15 year jumbo mortgage rate of 3.39 percent. The record low for 15 year jumbo rates was 3.17 percent set in November 2012. Current 15 year jumbo rates can be found as low as 2.875 percent to 3.125 percent with points.

 
Author: Brian McKay
February 18th, 2013

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