Mortgage Rates – Will Rates Head Higher in 2011?

Mortgage rates are low and have been low for over a year now. The current national average 30 year mortgage rate is 4.77% as reported by MonitorBankRates.com. The Mortgage Bankers Association is forecasting 30 year mortgage rates to hit 5.6% by the fourth quarter of 2011 and 6.0% by the end of 2.012.

Recent economic news suggests that 30 year rates might not even hit 5.6% by the fourth quarter of this year. First quarter advance GDP numbers came in at 1.8%, which is a slower rate of growth than the fourth quarter of last year. 

In the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) recent statement on economic policy, the Fed said the economy is gradually improving but the housing market is still depressed. The Fed also said longer term inflation expectations are stable so inflation still isn't a concern.

Loan Term
Lender
APR / Rate
Fees / Points
Payment
Surety Home Loans
NMLS #1981224
4.924%
15-Year Fixed
4.625%
$8,000
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $4,000
$3,086 /mo
Solidify Mortgage Advisors
NMLS #1283930
License: 01970483
5.445%
15-Year Fixed
5.250%
$5,125
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $1,125
$3,216 /mo
Watermark Capital
NMLS #1838
5.455%
15-Year Fixed
5.250%
$5,395
Includes 0.974 points for $3,896
Lender Fees: $1,499
$3,216 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
5.548%
15-Year Fixed
5.375%
$4,512
Includes 0.953 points for $3,812
Lender Fees: $700
$3,242 /mo
Surety Home Loans
NMLS #1981224
5.921%
30-Year Fixed
5.750%
$7,500
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $4,000
$2,335 /mo
PenFed Credit Union
NMLS #401822
6.039%
15-Year Fixed
5.750%
$7,500
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $4,000
$3,322 /mo
Rocket Mortgage
NMLS #3030
6.146%
15-Year Fixed
5.990%
$4,000
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $0
$3,374 /mo
Watermark Capital
NMLS #1838
6.231%
30-Year Fixed
6.125%
$4,535
Includes 0.759 points for $3,036
Lender Fees: $1,499
$2,431 /mo
PenFed Credit Union
NMLS #401822
6.289%
30-Year Fixed
6.125%
$7,000
Includes 0.750 points for $3,000
Lender Fees: $4,000
$2,431 /mo
Solidify Mortgage Advisors
NMLS #1283930
License: 01970483
6.347%
30-Year Fixed
6.250%
$4,125
Includes 0.750 points for $3,000
Lender Fees: $1,125
$2,463 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
6.477%
30-Year Fixed
6.375%
$4,284
Includes 0.896 points for $3,584
Lender Fees: $700
$2,496 /mo
Surety Home Loans
NMLS #1981224
6.533%
5-Year ARM
6.375%
$6,740
Includes 0.915 points for $3,660
Lender Fees: $3,080
$2,496 /mo
Rocket Mortgage
NMLS #3030
6.949%
30-Year Fixed
6.875%
$3,000
Includes 0.750 points for $3,000
Lender Fees: $0
$2,628 /mo
Rate data provided by RateUpdate.com. Displayed by ICB, a division of Mortgage Research Center, NMLS #1907, Equal Housing Opportunity. Payments do not include taxes and insurance premiums. Actual payments will be greater with taxes and insurance included. Rate and product details.

The Fed Funds rate was left unchanged at zero percent to one quarter percent and they expect to keep the rate at an exceptionally low levels for an extended period of time.

A slow expanding economy, low inflation and high unemployment will all keep interest rates and mortgage rates low in 2011 and possibly into 2012. Even if the economy picks up steam and inflation becomes a concern 30 year conforming rates won't hit 5.50 percent this year. A more likely scenario is we will see 30 year rates stay under 5.00 percent for the rest of 2011.

 
Author: Brian McKay
May 1st, 2011

Explore Other Mortgage and Refinance Offers