The Best Home Affordability in a Generation Isn’t Helping the Housing Market

Recent housing data released by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and the Commerce Department points to a weak housing market that will continue to be weak in 2011 and into 2012. Consumers haven't responded to mortgage rates that are near record lows and housing is more affordable than it has been in a generation. Current conforming 30 year mortgage rates are averaging 4.71% as reported by MonitorBankRates.com.

Find today's mortgage rates and refinance rates by searching our rate tables at MortgageRates.MonitorBankRates.com. No personal information is needed to display a list of rates.

The National Association of Realtors' housing affordability index is at the lowest level ever since records began in 1970. The typical monthly mortgage payment (principal and interest) for the purchase of an existing median-priced home is only 13 percent of gross household income. Just a few years ago many potential homeowners were priced out of the frothy housing market.

Loan Term
Lender
APR / Rate
Fees / Points
Payment
Bison State Bank
NMLS #757416
5.648%
15-Year Fixed
5.500%
$3,848
Includes 0.962 points for $3,848
Lender Fees: $0
$3,269 /mo
Allied Mortgage Group, Inc.
NMLS #1067
5.735%
15-Year Fixed
5.625%
$2,848
Includes 0.712 points for $2,848
Lender Fees: $0
$3,295 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
5.774%
15-Year Fixed
5.625%
$3,856
Includes 0.789 points for $3,156
Lender Fees: $700
$3,295 /mo
Allied Mortgage Group, Inc.
NMLS #1067
6.708%
30-Year Fixed
6.625%
$3,440
Includes 0.860 points for $3,440
Lender Fees: $0
$2,562 /mo
Bison State Bank
NMLS #757416
6.713%
30-Year Fixed
6.625%
$3,660
Includes 0.915 points for $3,660
Lender Fees: $0
$2,562 /mo
Home Simply
NMLS #2473786
6.735%
30-Year Fixed
6.624%
$4,611
Includes 0.879 points for $3,516
Lender Fees: $1,095
$2,561 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
6.739%
30-Year Fixed
6.625%
$4,696
Includes 0.999 points for $3,996
Lender Fees: $700
$2,562 /mo
HSBC Bank USA, N.A.
NMLS #399799
6.872%
30-Year Fixed
6.750%
$5,180
Includes 0.963 points for $3,852
Lender Fees: $1,328
$2,595 /mo
PenFed Credit Union
NMLS #401822
6.884%
30-Year Fixed
6.750%
$5,495
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $1,995
$2,595 /mo
Rocket Mortgage
NMLS #3030
6.889%
15-Year Fixed
6.750%
$3,500
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $0
$3,540 /mo
Rocket Mortgage
NMLS #3030
7.602%
30-Year Fixed
7.500%
$4,000
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $0
$2,797 /mo
PenFed Credit Union
NMLS #401822
7.804%
15-Year Fixed
7.500%
$7,500
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $4,000
$3,709 /mo
Rate data provided by RateUpdate.com. Displayed by ICB, a division of Mortgage Research Center, NMLS #1907, Equal Housing Opportunity. Payments do not include taxes and insurance premiums. Actual payments will be greater with taxes and insurance included. Rate and product details.

The numbers released by the NAHB showed new home builder sentiment stuck at a low of 16 in their National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI).  The Commerce Department said new home construction and permits for future building both declined in April.

Both numbers show how bad things are right now in the housing market but will help the market recover in the long run. Fewer homes are being built now and once demand catches up with supply the home prices will recover.

Before we get to that point, the glut of foreclosures and existing homes for sale has to come down. Existing home sales have been uneven for the past several months (see video below). Other factors weighing on the housing market include high unemployment and the perception that buying a home is a bad investment.

Here is more on existing home sales in March from Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist.

 
Author: Brian McKay
May 18th, 2011

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