The Federal Reserve: The Real Villain Behind the Great American Housing Crisis?

Get ready for a tale of fiscal folly that has Americans gnashing their teeth in frustration. While everyone is busy pointing fingers at international trade wars and fluctuating Treasury yields for skyrocketing mortgage rates, let's shed light on the real puppet master pulling the strings: the Federal Reserve. Oh yes, the guardians of the U.S. economy are doing a splendid job of turning the housing market into a game of Russian roulette.

We've already gone through how mortgage rates are undergoing seismic shifts, with both fixed-term and adjustable-rate mortgages soaring to 20-year highs, from record lows set in 2020, causing mild hysteria at dinner tables across the country. But what's juicing this volatility? It's the Federal Reserve's relentless push to hike up interest rates. Aimed at controlling inflation and other macroeconomic issues, the outcome is wreaking havoc on the hopes and dreams of homeowners and would-be buyers alike.

Think you're immune? Think again. Whether you're an average Joe looking to step onto the property ladder, or you're already ensconced in your dream abode, the Fed's actions will come knocking at your door, and they're not bringing a welcome basket. With the Federal Reserve pouring metaphorical gasoline on the already inflamed mortgage market, current mortgage rates are surging like there's no tomorrow. And remember, we're not talking about a harmless uptick; these are dramatic shifts that are adding weighty dollars to your long-term obligations. 30-year mortgage rates today are over 7.00 percent, nearing 8.00 percent. 5-year adjustable mortgage rates averaged over 8.00 percent and Bank of America was offering several adjustable rates over 8.00 percent.

Loan Term
Lender
APR / Rate
Fees / Points
Payment
Direct Home Lending
NMLS #274058
5.552%
15-Year Fixed
5.375%
$4,638
Includes 0.637 points for $2,548
Lender Fees: $2,090
$3,242 /mo
PenFed Credit Union
NMLS #401822
5.554%
15-Year Fixed
5.250%
$8,000
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $4,000
$3,216 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
5.756%
15-Year Fixed
5.625%
$3,404
Includes 0.676 points for $2,704
Lender Fees: $700
$3,295 /mo
New American Funding, LLC.
NMLS #6606
5.884%
15-Year Fixed
5.740%
$3,732
Includes 0.933 points for $3,732
Lender Fees: $0
$3,320 /mo
Direct Home Lending
NMLS #274058
6.515%
5-Year ARM
6.375%
$5,894
Includes 0.951 points for $3,804
Lender Fees: $2,090
$2,496 /mo
Direct Home Lending
NMLS #274058
6.632%
30-Year Fixed
6.500%
$5,506
Includes 0.854 points for $3,416
Lender Fees: $2,090
$2,529 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
6.721%
30-Year Fixed
6.625%
$3,956
Includes 0.814 points for $3,256
Lender Fees: $700
$2,562 /mo
PenFed Credit Union
NMLS #401822
6.770%
30-Year Fixed
6.625%
$5,995
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $1,995
$2,562 /mo
Rocket Mortgage
NMLS #3030
6.889%
15-Year Fixed
6.750%
$3,500
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $0
$3,540 /mo
New American Funding, LLC.
NMLS #6606
6.960%
30-Year Fixed
6.875%
$3,468
Includes 0.867 points for $3,468
Lender Fees: $0
$2,628 /mo
Rocket Mortgage
NMLS #3030
7.589%
30-Year Fixed
7.500%
$3,500
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $0
$2,797 /mo
Rate data provided by RateUpdate.com. Displayed by ICB, a division of Mortgage Research Center, NMLS #1907, Equal Housing Opportunity. Payments do not include taxes and insurance premiums. Actual payments will be greater with taxes and insurance included. Rate and product details.

But wait, there's more! The Fed's actions have a domino effect that cascades through the entire housing market. High interest rates effectively put the brakes on borrowing, thereby clogging the arteries of real estate growth. What happens when people don't want to borrow at these high rates and current homeowners don't want to sell because they've locked in a low rate a couple years ago? Home prices continue to move higher as a result.

Perhaps the most insidious aspect is the socioeconomic impact. We're staring down the barrel of a future where the middle and lower-income brackets are effectively locked out of home ownership. Sure, high interest rates might be a rich man's annoyance, but for the middle class, they're a barrier, and for the lower-income groups, they're often an insurmountable wall. Essentially, the Fed's policies could be manufacturing a housing crisis that discriminates based on income, turning the universal dream of home ownership into an exclusive club.

So, what's an aspiring or current homeowner to do amidst this financial maelstrom? First, your online mortgage rate comparison game needs to be strong—like, "Olympic athlete" strong. Second, consider making your voice heard in the policy arena. The story behind every mortgage rate is a story of real people making real life decisions, and those stories deserve to be part of the policy conversation.

If you're wondering why the housing market feels like it's on shaky ground, consider directing your ire towards the Federal Reserve. We're talking about an institution that, in its quest to manage macroeconomic dynamics, is inadvertently throwing the average American's housing aspirations under the bus. The great American mortgage/housing crisis might just be getting started, who knows when rates will stop going up and start coming down? When rates do finally move lower, will that open the fold gates for home buyers and drive home prices even higher? Barbara Corcoran recently said housing prices could soar when mortgage rates come down.

 
Author: Brian McKay
August 31st, 2023

Explore Other Mortgage and Refinance Offers