Disappointing Jobs Numbers will Force Mortgage Rates Lower

Already low mortgage rates will decline further in the coming days because of an extremely disappointing May jobs report. Markets expected 165,000 jobs were created in May but only 38,000 jobs were created. The bad news on employment sent 10 year bond yields down 14 basis points to 1.70 percent this past Friday.

By the end of this week, we expect average mortgage rates to decline between 5 to 15 basis points. Current 30 year mortgage rates are averaging 3.73 percent, so we could see average 30 year rates fall towards 3.65 percent. Thirty year rates near 3.65 percent hasn't been seen since May of 2013.

15 year mortgage rates today are averaging 2.71 percent, down 5 basis point from last week's average 15 year rate. Over the next week, average 15 year rates will decline towards 2.65 percent. The last time 15 year rates were as low as 2.65 percent was in April 2013.

Loan Term
Lender
APR / Rate
Fees / Points
Payment
District Lending
NMLS #1835285
5.478%
15-Year Fixed
5.250%
$6,000
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $2,000
$3,216 /mo
PenFed Credit Union
NMLS #401822
5.642%
15-Year Fixed
5.375%
$7,000
Includes 0.750 points for $3,000
Lender Fees: $4,000
$3,242 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
5.667%
15-Year Fixed
5.490%
$4,612
Includes 0.978 points for $3,912
Lender Fees: $700
$3,267 /mo
Tomo Mortgage, LLC.
NMLS #2059741
5.751%
15-Year Fixed
5.625%
$3,272
Includes 0.818 points for $3,272
Lender Fees: $0
$3,295 /mo
New American Funding, LLC.
NMLS #6606
5.890%
15-Year Fixed
5.740%
$3,876
Includes 0.969 points for $3,876
Lender Fees: $0
$3,320 /mo
District Lending
NMLS #1835285
6.368%
30-Year Fixed
6.250%
$5,000
Includes 0.750 points for $3,000
Lender Fees: $2,000
$2,463 /mo
District Lending
NMLS #1835285
6.377%
5-Year ARM
6.250%
$5,368
Includes 0.842 points for $3,368
Lender Fees: $2,000
$2,463 /mo
Tomo Mortgage, LLC.
NMLS #2059741
6.583%
30-Year Fixed
6.490%
$3,896
Includes 0.974 points for $3,896
Lender Fees: $0
$2,526 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
6.713%
30-Year Fixed
6.625%
$3,656
Includes 0.739 points for $2,956
Lender Fees: $700
$2,562 /mo
PenFed Credit Union
NMLS #401822
6.770%
30-Year Fixed
6.625%
$5,995
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $1,995
$2,562 /mo
New American Funding, LLC.
NMLS #6606
6.834%
30-Year Fixed
6.740%
$3,888
Includes 0.972 points for $3,888
Lender Fees: $0
$2,592 /mo
Rocket Mortgage
NMLS #3030
6.909%
15-Year Fixed
6.750%
$4,000
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $0
$3,540 /mo
Rocket Mortgage
NMLS #3030
7.602%
30-Year Fixed
7.500%
$4,000
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $0
$2,797 /mo
Rate data provided by RateUpdate.com. Displayed by ICB, a division of Mortgage Research Center, NMLS #1907, Equal Housing Opportunity. Payments do not include taxes and insurance premiums. Actual payments will be greater with taxes and insurance included. Rate and product details.

The decline in fixed long term mortgage rates won't last for long. Eventually the Federal Reserve will increase their key benchmark interest rate, the federal funds rate. Increases in the fed funds rate will drive bond yields higher and in turn will drive mortgage rates higher.

Average 5 year adjustable rates are currently averaging 2.87 percent, a decline from last week's average rate of 2.90 percent. Current 5 year jumbo adjustable mortgage rates are at 3.41 percent, up from last week's average 5 year jumbo rate of 3.29 percent.

 
Author: Brian McKay
June 7th, 2016

Explore Other Mortgage and Refinance Offers